Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.075919 0.085133 0.094561 0.104897 0.115883 0.127182 0.139654
2025-06-01 0.057449 0.070698 0.084965 0.101332 0.119456 0.138788 0.160848
2025-06-08 0.045608 0.060963 0.078242 0.098805 0.122305 0.148052 0.178129
2025-06-15 0.039406 0.056488 0.076418 0.100825 0.129390 0.161300 0.199198
2025-06-22 0.034014 0.052184 0.074121 0.101694 0.134643 0.172067 0.217135
2025-06-29 0.031439 0.050981 0.075228 0.106321 0.144059 0.187450 0.240224
2025-07-06 0.027471 0.047512 0.073162 0.106784 0.148281 0.196608 0.255997
2025-07-13 0.027175 0.048863 0.077131 0.114658 0.161413 0.216250 0.284023
2025-07-20 0.022860 0.044213 0.072999 0.112086 0.161595 0.220378 0.293730
2025-07-27 0.021507 0.043647 0.074147 0.116151 0.169895 0.234179 0.314859
2025-08-03 0.019213 0.041445 0.072911 0.116992 0.174075 0.242948 0.329967
2025-08-10 0.017194 0.039451 0.071802 0.117875 0.178215 0.251607 0.344909
2025-08-17 0.015114 0.037320 0.070608 0.118899 0.182938 0.261517 0.362076
2025-08-24 0.012090 0.033245 0.066377 0.115667 0.182127 0.264618 0.371095
2025-08-31 0.009646 0.029771 0.062742 0.113024 0.181906 0.268333 0.380780
2025-09-07 0.008571 0.028674 0.062621 0.115228 0.188025 0.279981 0.400213
2025-09-14 0.007375 0.027136 0.061680 0.116171 0.192405 0.289403 0.416895
2025-09-21 0.007049 0.027363 0.063551 0.121179 0.202267 0.305830 0.442321
2025-09-28 0.005988 0.025803 0.062390 0.121679 0.205982 0.314386 0.457952
2025-10-05 0.006305 0.027445 0.066613 0.130185 0.220665 0.337084 0.491335
2025-10-12 0.004897 0.024739 0.063332 0.127409 0.219826 0.339753 0.499613
2025-10-19 0.004630 0.024819 0.064821 0.131796 0.228862 0.355209 0.523990
2025-10-26 0.003949 0.023659 0.064054 0.132703 0.233045 0.364356 0.540430